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The Money Management Newsletter: General Interest
Bre-X marks the spot

It appears as if the Bre-X scandal will be making news for a long while to come with all the pending lawsuits against the company principals, the metallurgy firms that did the assaying of the core samples and the brokerage firms that sold shares to the public. The lawsuits in most cases will focus on either fraud or negligence or both on the part of the defendants as investors try to recoup some of their huge losses.

While this whole debacle is certainly one of the largest stock market frauds ever, with one or more persons tampering with the core samples and others surely being aware of this, it will be up to the courts to determine who did what and who knew what with respect to the fraud charges. Arguments of negligence on the other hand will focus on two issues: to whom did the defendant owe a duty and if they had a duty did they meet reasonable standards in fulfilling it?

While it is fashionable to sue anyone and everyone these days and lawyers will probably line up to represent claimants, those doing the finger pointing should also consider pointing their fingers at themselves because I am sure they would fail the negligence test on their own behalf.

What do I mean by this? Look at it this way. An investor owes a duty to himself and should take reasonable precautions to protect his or her downside in any investment they make. Two continuously opposing forces for any investor are fear and greed. There is an ongoing battle between the two and at some point the fear of losing ones money (fear factor) usually overcomes ones desire to maximize investment earnings (greed factor). You only have to look at the number of people who in recent years have fled the safety of GIC investments for the potentially higher returns of mutual funds to see an example of greed wearing down fear in the battle.

Some of the articles I have read surrounding Bre-X have commented on novice investors plowing their life savings into the stock while others, not content to use just their own money, borrowed heavily to try and maximize their gains. These were people who might normally ponder for days or weeks on a vehicle purchase or who closely inspect the produce at the super market. However with Bre-X, they invested large sums of money in a single company with no earnings and which had only one unproven asset, which was thousands of miles away in a foreign jungle.

The lawsuits will probably claim that these investors were unsophisticated, that the Bre-X shares were unsuitable for them and that they were fast talked by some broker into loading up on the stock. While some fast talking may have taken place, after all brokers are sales people, what had these unsophisticated investors been doing with their money before Bre-X came along?

Most GIC investors will not go over their CDIC limit even with a major bank and many view mutual funds which individually invest in many stocks as risky. So how in the world could anyone convince someone like this to invest in such a high risk venture? I suspect that many didn't need convincing but instead rushed headlong into the arena, where greed scored a knockout over fear. Unfortunately, while fear was unconscious, greed bet the farm on Bre-X.

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file=" 1998, Fiscal Agents Money Management Newsletter
25 Lakeshore Road, Oakville, On L6K 1C6.
(905) 844-7700

 







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